Risk section

SQIF Risk Lab

See how risk travels through a system.

Change the conditions of a fictional scenario and observe impact mechanisms without forecasts or personal conclusions.

National Bank of Kazakhstan · Open Data

Risk context

Official indicators provide context but are not trading signals on their own.

Official data
Base rate16.75%
Annual inflation9.80%Inflation target: 5.0%
TONIA16.12%
Gold · accounting price64,371KZT/g
SQIF Risk Lab

Stress scenarios

Values are deliberate educational assumptions and do not express SQIF expectations.

Every portfolio, instrument, price, and shock in the stress scenarios is fictional. Calculations illustrate mechanisms and are not forecasts of markets or future returns.

Choose one or more shocks

Select again to turn a scenario off

Conditional basket change-3.4%One active scenario
KZT bonds · 40%-6.8%
Equities · 30%-3.0%
Currency asset · 20%+1.0%
Cash · 10%0.0%

Risk review

Check before drawing a conclusion

Values in the NBRK panel are official. Every portfolio change below is a fictional learning assumption.

  1. 01

    Which data are official and which are fictional?

  2. 02

    Are source, time, and possible delay shown?

  3. 03

    Is risk displayed alongside any potential benefit?

  4. 04

    Are currency, costs, time, and liquidity considered?

  5. 05

    Has an educational scenario turned into a promise or trading signal?

Model boundaries

Every portfolio, instrument, price, and shock in the stress scenarios is fictional. This material is educational and is not an individual investment recommendation. Calculations illustrate mechanisms and are not forecasts of markets or future returns. Actual instruments, venues, charges, and terms are determined by the agreement and current documents. Official indicators may be published with a delay; source and update time should appear beside the data.

Method: synthetic coefficients